Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.138162 0.201437 0.274436 0.362663 0.464462 0.576579 0.707849
2026-01-25 0.057599 0.130047 0.230255 0.366739 0.538451 0.740076 0.988333
2026-02-01 0.018459 0.078889 0.182270 0.339200 0.550328 0.809518 1.139139
2026-02-08 0.001885 0.041587 0.137828 0.304029 0.543459 0.849828 1.250638
2026-02-15 NaN 0.023771 0.115285 0.292902 0.562779 0.918555 1.393116
2026-02-22 NaN 0.015205 0.105724 0.298888 0.603835 1.014041 1.568195
2026-03-01 NaN 0.007890 0.092666 0.295635 0.629574 1.088198 1.715679
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002266 0.074683 0.279030 0.632821 1.130612 1.821544
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001626 0.078184 0.303982 0.699765 1.259793 2.039668
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001173 0.082049 0.329643 0.768000 1.391077 2.261023
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000459 0.080659 0.343793 0.817987 1.497319 2.450098
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000478 0.088461 0.378039 0.900292 1.648730 2.698636
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000229 0.091393 0.403315 0.971198 1.788383 2.937415
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.084606 0.406452 1.006847 1.879869 3.114649
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.065785 0.377589 0.988075 1.893565 3.188407
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.046413 0.340173 0.951475 1.879747 3.224077
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037806 0.328354 0.956923 1.925049 3.337587
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035406 0.334719 0.994279 2.016776 3.513693
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.030482 0.331259 1.013466 2.081665 3.653513
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.022574 0.313576 1.005357 2.105545 3.737257
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.025828 0.340137 1.080032 2.252995 3.989862
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.029289 0.367392 1.156065 2.402614 4.245658
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.029687 0.382397 1.209269 2.518345 4.455444